Qualification · Qualification 106

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.52 – 387.57

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±11.6

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 43.55Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 8.33Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 35.64Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 716.9 ±9.5

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 283.66Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.26Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 62.65Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8728, 1111, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8728, 1111, 1086

Auto

22.4 26%

Teleop

49.3 58%

Endgame

13.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 6239, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.6 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 6239, 5338

Auto

55.7 15%

Teleop

214.7 57%

Endgame

107.6 28%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.95 · Blue 3.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score87.5pts

Blue projected score387.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -300
Score range: 47–429
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 226.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.8Season APEX716.9

22.4Auto55.7

49.3Teleop214.7

13.4Endgame107.6

8Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	55
teleop	63	214
endgame	46	129
foul	0	0
total	130	398

Result

Final score

130 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable