Qualification · Qualification 105

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.74 – 72.32

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.1 ±14.1

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 100.58Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 60.27Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 1.89Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.5 ±10.5

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 62.59Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -13.8Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 23.53Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4467, 4265, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.7 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 4265, 620

Auto

27.5 17%

Teleop

89.6 55%

Endgame

45.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1533, 3492, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.3 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 3492, 9121

Auto

9.7 15%

Teleop

33.8 51%

Endgame

22.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score162.7pts

Blue projected score72.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.4
Score range: 31–204
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 227.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.1Season APEX370.5

27.5Auto9.7

89.6Teleop33.8

45.9Endgame22.5

10Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	13
teleop	116	57
endgame	31	40
foul	0	0
total	186	110

Result

Final score

186 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable