Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.99 – 159.2

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±11

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 22.37Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -0.51Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 60.13Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.6 ±13

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 41.48Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 58.86Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 58.86Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9121, 620, 1262

/ 100 compat

Projected

82 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 620, 1262

Auto

13.0 17%

Teleop

37.6 50%

Endgame

24.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5740, 1533, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.2 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5740, 1533, 4265

Auto

32.9 21%

Teleop

79.1 51%

Endgame

43.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.41 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82pts

Blue projected score159.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.2
Score range: 41–200
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 226.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.4Season APEX413.6

13Auto32.9

37.6Teleop79.1

24.3Endgame43.9

19Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	70
teleop	72	93
endgame	35	41
foul	0	0
total	125	204

Result

Final score

125 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable