Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.1 – 216.94

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

287 – 469

Prediction correct · off by 217 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±14.1

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX -12.78Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 23.6Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 94.28Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 835.4 ±8.7

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 94.28Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 20.23Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 102.43Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4265, 4467, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4265, 4467, 3940

Auto

10.1 10%

Teleop

61.7 59%

Endgame

33.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 5338, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 5338, 10021

Auto

46.7 20%

Teleop

133.9 58%

Endgame

48.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 2.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score105.1pts

Blue projected score216.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 88%, blue 93%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.8
Score range: 68–254
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 756 vs event baseline 204.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.7Season APEX835.4

10.1Auto46.7

61.7Teleop133.9

33.1Endgame48.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	103
teleop	114	253
endgame	112	113
foul	0	0
total	287	469

Result

Final score

287 – 469

Prediction correct · off by 217 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable