Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.84 – 86.64

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

61 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 121.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.4 ±12

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 190.76Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 21.18Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 41.9Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±11

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 6.38Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 46.5Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 33.76Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 2614, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.8 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 2614, 10011

Auto

51.8 20%

Teleop

141.1 55%

Endgame

65.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 620, 1086, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 620, 1086, 5811

Auto

26.2 30%

Teleop

47.4 55%

Endgame

12.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.76 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score253.8pts

Blue projected score86.6pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167.2
Score range: 45–296
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 230.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.4Season APEX406.7

51.8Auto26.2

141.1Teleop47.4

65Endgame12.7

26Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	12
teleop	19	16
endgame	2	8
foul	0	0
total	61	36

Result

Final score

61 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 121.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable