Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

301.85 – 89.11

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 692 ±10.7

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -33.84Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 181.64Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 154.05Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.4 ±11.7

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 30.28Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 31.63Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 27.2Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11409, 1796, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.9 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11409, 1796, 195

Auto

67.4 23%

Teleop

170.5 57%

Endgame

60.6 20%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 178, 8889, 5746

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 178, 8889, 5746

Auto

12.7 16%

Teleop

51.1 63%

Endgame

17.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score301.9pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 212.7
Score range: 67–324
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 122.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

692Season APEX266.4

67.4Auto12.7

170.5Teleop51.1

60.6Endgame17.6

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	18
teleop	116	21
endgame	19	34
foul	0	0
total	214	73

Result

Final score

214 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts