Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 30.89

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.8 ±12.2

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 27.03Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 5.29Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX -1.43Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 9990, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 9990, 9992

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2064, 1099, 1991

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2064, 1099, 1991

Auto

8.5 34%

Teleop

1.0 4%

Endgame

15.5 62%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score30.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.9
Score range: -23–54
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 127.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX165.8

0Auto8.5

0Teleop1

0Endgame15.5

0Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	0	1

Result

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 pts