Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

423.53 – 75.83

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 249.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 692 ±10.7

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 194.55Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 217.79Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 11.19Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 1796, 11409

/ 100 compat

Projected

423.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 1796, 11409

Auto

98.2 23%

Teleop

240.8 57%

Endgame

82.2 20%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9994, 9993, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9994, 9993, 9995

Auto

22.7 30%

Teleop

37.9 50%

Endgame

15.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score423.5pts

Blue projected score75.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 347.7
Score range: 49–451
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 151.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

692Season APEX0

98.2Auto-

240.8Teleop-

82.2Endgame-

0Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	1	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	1	0

Result

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 249.2 pts