Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.67 – 86.53

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.7 ±11

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 31.76Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 110.44Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 51.47Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±12.2

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 37.85Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 35.91Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 12.77Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3461, 8085, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3461, 8085, 230

Auto

31.5 17%

Teleop

111.5 60%

Endgame

42.6 23%

Strengths

· 8085 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 155, 9193, 10133

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 155, 9193, 10133

Auto

24.1 31%

Teleop

37.0 47%

Endgame

17.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score193.7pts

Blue projected score86.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.1
Score range: 65–216
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 122.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.7Season APEX199.8

31.5Auto24.1

111.5Teleop37

42.6Endgame17.4

52Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	28
teleop	64	5
endgame	62	6
foul	30	0
total	184	39

Result

Final score

184 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts