Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.57 – 292.22

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 681

Prediction correct · off by 221.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.2 ±11

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 62.25Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -0.78Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 10.1Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 760.3 ±9.3

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 119.66Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 35.58Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 136.98Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 155, 3461, 8889

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.6 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 155, 3461, 8889

Auto

15.2 21%

Teleop

17.8 25%

Endgame

38.7 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 228, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.2 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 228, 1796

Auto

49.7 18%

Teleop

172.8 61%

Endgame

61.1 22%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.26 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score71.6pts

Blue projected score292.2pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -220.7
Score range: 48–316
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 807 vs event baseline 135.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.2Season APEX760.3

15.2Auto49.7

17.8Teleop172.8

38.7Endgame61.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	122
teleop	49	390
endgame	50	164
foul	15	5
total	126	681

Result

Final score

126 – 681

Prediction correct · off by 221.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable