Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.47 – 78.11

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

100 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247 ±11.6

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 50.38Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 21.55Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 18.54Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.9 ±12.8

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 49.48Rank 5Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 27.65Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 0.98Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 173, 2064, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 173, 2064, 3461

Auto

19.9 21%

Teleop

40.3 42%

Endgame

36.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 5746, 1099

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1071, 5746, 1099

Auto

9.9 14%

Teleop

40.3 58%

Endgame

19.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score78.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.4
Score range: 53–115
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 140.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247Season APEX210.9

19.9Auto9.9

40.3Teleop40.3

36Endgame19.4

2Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	6
teleop	36	5
endgame	54	30
foul	0	0
total	100	41

Result

Final score

100 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable