Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.28 – 92.59

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470 ±10.5

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 3.94Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 193.4Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 51.94Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.4 ±40.9

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX -5.56Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.86Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 96.29Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2064, 195, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.3 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2064, 195, 230

Auto

61.6 25%

Teleop

126.6 50%

Endgame

62.5 25%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1991, 9999, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.6 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1991, 9999, 228

Auto

21.0 24%

Teleop

37.1 42%

Endgame

30.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score249.3pts

Blue projected score92.6pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 156.7
Score range: 66–276
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470Season APEX196.4

61.6Auto21

126.6Teleop37.1

62.5Endgame30.6

35Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	12
teleop	131	44
endgame	74	29
foul	0	15
total	258	100

Result

Final score

258 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable