Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
248.62 – 141.55
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
294 – 208
Prediction correct · off by 55.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 447.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 27.65Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 199.42Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42Event APEX 21.55Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.4 ±41.2
Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 102.3Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 29.69Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.56Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5746, 1796, 2064
81
/ 100 compatProjected
248.6 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5746, 1796, 2064
Auto
51.6 21%
Teleop
141.3 58%
Endgame
51.7 21%
Strengths
- · 1796 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8085, 9193, 9999
62
/ 100 compatProjected
141.6 pts
~0.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8085, 9193, 9999
Auto
23.7 18%
Teleop
74.1 56%
Endgame
34.9 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score248.6pts
Blue projected score141.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample70alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 107.1
- Score range
- 117–274
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
447.2Season APEX171.4
51.6Auto23.7
141.3Teleop74.1
51.7Endgame34.9
0Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 21 |
| teleop | 177 | 109 |
| endgame | 55 | 78 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 294 | 208 |
Result
Final score
294 – 208
Prediction correct · off by 55.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable