Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.21 – 65.03

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.6 ±10.5

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 21.97Rank 5Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 195.15Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 12.09Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.5 ±12.2

10133Manhattan Monsters

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 6.86Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 43.6Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 14.57Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1071, 1796, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1071, 1796, 3461

Auto

39.3 17%

Teleop

139.3 60%

Endgame

52.2 23%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10133, 155, 11409

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10133, 155, 11409

Auto

32.4 64%

Teleop

11.7 23%

Endgame

6.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score229.2pts

Blue projected score65pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 164.2
Score range: 39–255
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 145.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535.6Season APEX207.5

39.3Auto32.4

139.3Teleop11.7

52.2Endgame6.9

51Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	24
teleop	232	35
endgame	67	29
foul	0	0
total	368	88

Result

Final score

368 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

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