Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.12 – 116.79

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

211 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±10.4

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 4.6Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 8.33Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 95.19Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.7 ±12.8

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 51.6Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 5.25Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 59.94Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 178, 8889, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 178, 8889, 8085

Auto

-1.2 0%

Teleop

71.1 64%

Endgame

41.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9193, 2712, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.8 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9193, 2712, 173

Auto

17.6 17%

Teleop

71.1 68%

Endgame

16.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score108.1pts

Blue projected score116.8pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.7
Score range: 82–143
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 144.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.3Season APEX218.7

-1.2Auto17.6

71.1Teleop71.1

41Endgame16.1

114Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	11
teleop	120	44
endgame	29	29
foul	35	30
total	211	114

Result

Final score

211 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable