Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.89 – 79.51

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.9 ±12.2

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 63.19Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 8.76Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -20.06Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157 ±41.2

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 1Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 40.53Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 37.98Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 230, 3461, 1099

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 230, 3461, 1099

Auto

2.6 5%

Teleop

15.3 32%

Endgame

29.6 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9999, 155, 5746

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 155, 5746

Auto

25.6 37%

Teleop

20.8 30%

Endgame

23.7 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.6
Score range: 25–107
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.9Season APEX157

2.6Auto25.6

15.3Teleop20.8

29.6Endgame23.7

97Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	32	56
endgame	34	10
foul	0	20
total	76	125

Result

Final score

76 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable