Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

321.58 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460 ±40.8

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 72.77Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.68Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 213.13Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 152.7 ±13.9

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -35.73Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -45.58Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 2.81Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 173, 9999, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.6 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 173, 9999, 1796

Auto

45.9 15%

Teleop

193.5 61%

Endgame

75.6 24%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2712, 1099, 11409

/ 100 compat

Projected

-78.5 pts

~0.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 1099, 11409

Auto

-10.5 15%

Teleop

-44.1 62%

Endgame

-16.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score321.6pts

Blue projected score-78.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 321.6
Score range: -28–350
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 153.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460Season APEX152.7

45.9Auto-10.5

193.5Teleop-44.1

75.6Endgame-16.6

23Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	5
teleop	74	8
endgame	28	16
foul	15	30
total	192	59

Result

Final score

192 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 94.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable