Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.46 – 121.16

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.2 ±10.4

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 70.75Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 57.14Rank 5Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 44.57Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±12.2

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 78.77Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 1.79Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 40.6Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 230, 1071, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.5 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 230, 1071, 155

Auto

30.2 18%

Teleop

85.3 51%

Endgame

52.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9193, 178, 2064

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9193, 178, 2064

Auto

29.4 25%

Teleop

50.0 43%

Endgame

37.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.55 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score172.5pts

Blue projected score121.2pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.3
Score range: 92–201
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 160.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326.2Season APEX184.3

30.2Auto29.4

85.3Teleop50

52.7Endgame37.6

59Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	17
teleop	50	8
endgame	3	7
foul	30	0
total	122	32

Result

Final score

122 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable