Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.16 – 101.91

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.5 ±10.4

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 87.24Rank 4Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 65.22Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX -5.3Rank 5Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.8 ±40.9

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 18.28Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 54.88Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.75Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 173, 1071

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 173, 1071

Auto

16.5 11%

Teleop

76.7 50%

Endgame

58.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 178, 230, 9999

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 178, 230, 9999

Auto

19.1 18%

Teleop

68.5 66%

Endgame

16.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.57 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score147.2pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.3
Score range: 72–177
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 165.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.5Season APEX228.8

16.5Auto19.1

76.7Teleop68.5

58.8Endgame16.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	19
teleop	167	46
endgame	58	26
foul	0	0
total	248	91

Result

Final score

248 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable