Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.1 – 143.91

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 40.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.7 ±10.4

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 0.7Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 50.38Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 26.02Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±11.7

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 109.05Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 0.98Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 33.88Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 173, 178

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1991, 173, 178

Auto

24.5 34%

Teleop

38.0 53%

Endgame

9.2 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 228, 1099, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 228, 1099, 155

Auto

24.0 19%

Teleop

59.6 47%

Endgame

43.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score77.1pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.8
Score range: 52–169
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 140.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.7Season APEX254.2

24.5Auto24

38Teleop59.6

9.2Endgame43.3

5Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	7
teleop	80	43
endgame	21	50
foul	0	5
total	120	105

Result

Final score

120 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 40.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable