Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

342.45 – 165.07

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

516 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 92.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 692 ±10.7

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -16.13Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 192.55Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 166.03Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.7 ±11.7

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 5.67Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 109.83Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 49.57Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11409, 1796, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.5 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11409, 1796, 195

Auto

75.2 22%

Teleop

192.7 57%

Endgame

69.8 21%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2712, 228, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.1 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 228, 173

Auto

25.2 17%

Teleop

71.1 47%

Endgame

53.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score342.5pts

Blue projected score165.1pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.4
Score range: 141–366
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 693 vs event baseline 134.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

692Season APEX294.7

75.2Auto25.2

192.7Teleop71.1

69.8Endgame53.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	124	25
teleop	280	100
endgame	107	52
foul	5	0
total	516	177

Result

Final score

516 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 92.7 pts