Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.38 – 165.59

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

459 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 74.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 692 ±10.7

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -24.43Rank 19Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 186.19Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 158.62Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.7 ±11.7

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 6.11Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 110.61Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 48.87Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11409, 1796, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11409, 1796, 195

Auto

76.0 24%

Teleop

177.7 56%

Endgame

60.9 19%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2712, 228, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.6 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 228, 173

Auto

22.1 15%

Teleop

75.3 50%

Endgame

54.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.08 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score320.4pts

Blue projected score165.6pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.8
Score range: 143–343
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 635 vs event baseline 129.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

692Season APEX294.7

76Auto22.1

177.7Teleop75.3

60.9Endgame54.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	43
teleop	269	56
endgame	117	57
foul	0	20
total	459	176

Result

Final score

459 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 74.5 pts