Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
211.25 – 173.07
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
221 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 22.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 524.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 20.58Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 89.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 101.52Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 34.25Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 44.93Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 93.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8531, 930, 1714
79
/ 100 compatProjected
211.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8531, 930, 1714
Auto
34.8 17%
Teleop
127.5 62%
Endgame
44.6 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6381, 3197, 2062
77
/ 100 compatProjected
173.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6381, 3197, 2062
Auto
37.8 22%
Teleop
97.2 57%
Endgame
34.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score211.3pts
Blue projected score173.1pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38.2
- Score range
- 151–233
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
524.9Season APEX461.7
34.8Auto37.8
127.5Teleop97.2
44.6Endgame34.6
4Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 50 |
| teleop | 77 | 22 |
| endgame | 35 | 6 |
| foul | 40 | 60 |
| total | 221 | 138 |
Result
Final score
221 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 22.4 pts
Match videos
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