Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
94.44 – 68.15
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
115 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 205 ±11
Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 28.31Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 50.34Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 15.79Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 8.87Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 34.75Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 24.53Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2143, 6223, 537
48
/ 100 compatProjected
94.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2143, 6223, 537
Auto
8.5 9%
Teleop
49.8 54%
Endgame
34.1 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2077, 1675, 3418
38
/ 100 compatProjected
68.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2077, 1675, 3418
Auto
19.0 32%
Teleop
18.4 31%
Endgame
21.3 36%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.4pts
Blue projected score68.2pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.3
- Score range
- 46–116
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
205Season APEX180.2
8.5Auto19
49.8Teleop18.4
34.1Endgame21.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 29 |
| teleop | 73 | 27 |
| endgame | 24 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 115 | 76 |
Result
Final score
115 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts
Match videos
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