Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.92 – 61.37

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 461.7 ±9.8

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 92.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 43Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 32.03Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±12.2

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 6.21Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 32.66Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3418RoboRiot

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 22.5Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2062, 3197, 6381

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2062, 3197, 6381

Auto

33.4 20%

Teleop

95.3 58%

Endgame

36.1 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2077, 1675, 3418

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2077, 1675, 3418

Auto

17.5 31%

Teleop

17.2 30%

Endgame

22.0 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.9pts

Blue projected score61.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.5
Score range: 39–190
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 122.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

461.7Season APEX180.2

33.4Auto17.5

95.3Teleop17.2

36.1Endgame22

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	28
teleop	115	27
endgame	32	20
foul	5	30
total	212	105

Result

Final score

212 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Match videos

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