Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
70.99 – 178.51
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 346
Prediction correct · off by 85.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±11
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 6.38Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 11.94Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 52.67Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 689.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 41.43Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 74.79Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 62.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9149, 8531, 2202
58
/ 100 compatProjected
71 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9149, 8531, 2202
Auto
11.6 17%
Teleop
32.7 48%
Endgame
23.2 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 930, 1732, 4786
87
/ 100 compatProjected
178.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 930, 1732, 4786
Auto
22.1 13%
Teleop
97.8 58%
Endgame
48.2 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71pts
Blue projected score178.5pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -107.5
- Score range
- 54–196
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
247.2Season APEX689.7
11.6Auto22.1
32.7Teleop97.8
23.2Endgame48.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 52 |
| teleop | 34 | 245 |
| endgame | 20 | 49 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 346 |
Result
Final score
75 – 346
Prediction correct · off by 85.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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