Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
43.43 – 72.86
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
17 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 16Rank 24Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 13.43Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 14Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 54.86Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 14Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 4Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10430, 8847, 1091
43
/ 100 compatProjected
43.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10430, 8847, 1091
Auto
15.4 35%
Teleop
16.3 38%
Endgame
11.7 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3418, 2143, 6421
57
/ 100 compatProjected
72.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3418, 2143, 6421
Auto
20.3 28%
Teleop
31.7 43%
Endgame
20.9 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score43.4pts
Blue projected score72.9pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -29.4
- Score range
- 24–92
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
112.4Season APEX223.7
15.4Auto20.3
16.3Teleop31.7
11.7Endgame20.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 16 |
| teleop | 8 | 17 |
| endgame | 0 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 17 | 54 |
Result
Final score
17 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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