Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
49.25 – 90.68
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
70 – 100
Prediction correct · off by 15 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 48.04Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 17.67Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -16.46Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±11
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 29.69Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.5Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 33.49Rank 9Record 7-3-2Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4786, 6421, 3596
33
/ 100 compatProjected
49.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4786, 6421, 3596
Auto
5.7 12%
Teleop
31.0 66%
Endgame
10.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2202, 6318, 4021
52
/ 100 compatProjected
90.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2202, 6318, 4021
Auto
21.3 24%
Teleop
39.0 44%
Endgame
28.0 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score49.3pts
Blue projected score90.7pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.4
- Score range
- 27–113
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
334.3Season APEX223.1
5.7Auto21.3
31Teleop39
10.1Endgame28
28Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 31 |
| teleop | 40 | 51 |
| endgame | 8 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 70 | 100 |
Result
Final score
70 – 100
Prediction correct · off by 15 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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