Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.15 – 108.53

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±12.8

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 39.49Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7619illumiBOTi

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 21.81Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX -4.15Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.8 ±11.2

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 8.71Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8024Robotans

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 6.66Rank 21Record 5-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 93.16Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1675, 7619, 1220

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1675, 7619, 1220

Auto

15.5 32%

Teleop

11.4 23%

Endgame

21.8 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8701, 8024, 1714

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8701, 8024, 1714

Auto

24.5 24%

Teleop

55.6 54%

Endgame

23.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.2pts

Blue projected score108.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.4
Score range: 36–130
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 118.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.7Season APEX335.8

15.5Auto24.5

11.4Teleop55.6

21.8Endgame23.4

0Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	38
teleop	13	86
endgame	4	46
foul	0	5
total	31	175

Result

Final score

31 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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