Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.27 – 261.8

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 435

Prediction correct · off by 105 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.5 ±10.4

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 31.63Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 16.28Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 10.36Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.5 ±9.3

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 26.89Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 151.9Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 83.01Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6381, 6421, 7900

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6381, 6421, 7900

Auto

14.5 26%

Teleop

21.2 38%

Endgame

20.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3197, 1306, 2062

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3197, 1306, 2062

Auto

51.9 20%

Teleop

165.9 63%

Endgame

44.2 17%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.3pts

Blue projected score261.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.5
Score range: 37–283
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 530 vs event baseline 116.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.5Season APEX612.5

14.5Auto51.9

21.2Teleop165.9

20.3Endgame44.2

8Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	94
teleop	54	250
endgame	29	91
foul	0	0
total	95	435

Result

Final score

95 – 435

Prediction correct · off by 105 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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