Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.73 – 84.7

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.1 ±9.8

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 158.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 29.53Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 32.91Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.5 ±11

6574Ferradermis

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 31.77Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 47.68Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 5.25Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 2506, 2202

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1732, 2506, 2202

Auto

38.1 18%

Teleop

131.9 61%

Endgame

47.5 22%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6574, 6223, 2077

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6574, 6223, 2077

Auto

9.3 11%

Teleop

37.7 46%

Endgame

34.6 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score220.7pts

Blue projected score84.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136
Score range: 64–242
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 115.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.1Season APEX250.5

38.1Auto9.3

131.9Teleop37.7

47.5Endgame34.6

50Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	8
teleop	125	73
endgame	38	55
foul	5	0
total	229	136

Result

Final score

229 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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