Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
51.56 – 88.07
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
63 – 50
Prediction missed · off by 24.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 24.73Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 14.11Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 12.72Rank 24Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -13.76Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 99.09Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 2.74Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3418, 9149, 10430
36
/ 100 compatProjected
51.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3418, 9149, 10430
Auto
16.6 32%
Teleop
18.6 36%
Endgame
16.2 32%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3596, 1714, 1220
52
/ 100 compatProjected
88.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3596, 1714, 1220
Auto
16.0 19%
Teleop
44.7 52%
Endgame
25.1 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score51.6pts
Blue projected score88.1pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.5
- Score range
- 31–109
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
151.5Season APEX386.8
16.6Auto16
18.6Teleop44.7
16.2Endgame25.1
3Consistency11
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 21 |
| teleop | 15 | 15 |
| endgame | 16 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 63 | 50 |
Result
Final score
63 – 50
Prediction missed · off by 24.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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