Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
166.63 – 128.57
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
128 – 135
Prediction missed · off by 22.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 57.23Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 87.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 22.09Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 70.38Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 16.08Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 42.11Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4786, 2062, 8531
77
/ 100 compatProjected
166.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4786, 2062, 8531
Auto
26.5 17%
Teleop
97.7 61%
Endgame
35.7 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7915, 6421, 1675
65
/ 100 compatProjected
128.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7915, 6421, 1675
Auto
22.0 18%
Teleop
58.8 49%
Endgame
40.1 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score166.6pts
Blue projected score128.6pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38.1
- Score range
- 108–188
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
345.3Season APEX406.2
26.5Auto22
97.7Teleop58.8
35.7Endgame40.1
24Consistency8
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 24 |
| teleop | 53 | 67 |
| endgame | 50 | 39 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 128 | 135 |
Result
Final score
128 – 135
Prediction missed · off by 22.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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