Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.75 – 130.48

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.3 ±11

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 2.77Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

537Charger Robotics

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 24.67Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3596Rocket Robotics

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -15.69Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.3 ±10.5

9149RoboCats

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 18.69Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 105.12Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 6.67Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7900, 537, 3596

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7900, 537, 3596

Auto

2.1 16%

Teleop

6.2 48%

Endgame

4.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9149, 1714, 2077

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9149, 1714, 2077

Auto

24.7 19%

Teleop

75.4 57%

Endgame

31.5 24%

Strengths

· 1714 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.8pts

Blue projected score130.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118.7
Score range: -9–151
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 116.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.3Season APEX326.3

2.1Auto24.7

6.2Teleop75.4

4.6Endgame31.5

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	29
teleop	22	47
endgame	14	26
foul	0	0
total	44	102

Result

Final score

44 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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