Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.94 – 97.79

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.2 ±10.5

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 38.62Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 137.73Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 20.59Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.1 ±11

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 32.07Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 29.73Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6574Ferradermis

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 35.99Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1675, 1306, 6318

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1675, 1306, 6318

Auto

40.7 22%

Teleop

111.3 60%

Endgame

33.6 18%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2202, 1091, 6574

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2202, 1091, 6574

Auto

18.4 20%

Teleop

40.1 43%

Endgame

35.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score196.9pts

Blue projected score97.8pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.1
Score range: 77–218
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 115.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.2Season APEX284.1

40.7Auto18.4

111.3Teleop40.1

33.6Endgame35.6

0Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	12
teleop	134	28
endgame	61	21
foul	0	0
total	249	61

Result

Final score

249 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.