Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.14 – 95.69

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 58.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.6 ±10.5

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 94.7Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8531TermiKnightors

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 16.74Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 21.7Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366 ±10.5

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 11.77Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 6.74Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 77.18Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1714, 8531, 6381

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1714, 8531, 6381

Auto

26.5 21%

Teleop

62.2 48%

Endgame

40.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8701, 2077, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8701, 2077, 930

Auto

17.5 18%

Teleop

58.0 59%

Endgame

22.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.1pts

Blue projected score95.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.4
Score range: 76–153
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 112.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.6Season APEX366

26.5Auto17.5

62.2Teleop58

40.2Endgame22.3

40Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	14
teleop	130	54
endgame	50	43
foul	15	0
total	235	111

Result

Final score

235 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 58.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.