Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.31 – 99.54

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 430.2 ±9.8

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 94.97Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 81.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 6.44Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±12.2

2143Team Tobor

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 11.13Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 57.38Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7619illumiBOTi

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 31.03Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1714, 2062, 7900

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1714, 2062, 7900

Auto

33.7 18%

Teleop

92.5 49%

Endgame

61.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2143, 6223, 7619

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2143, 6223, 7619

Auto

10.5 11%

Teleop

52.5 53%

Endgame

35.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score183.3pts

Blue projected score99.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.8
Score range: 79–204
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 115.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

430.2Season APEX205.9

33.7Auto10.5

92.5Teleop52.5

61.8Endgame35.7

38Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	120	35
endgame	26	15
foul	0	0
total	166	66

Result

Final score

166 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.