Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.79 – 22.08

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 430.4 ±11.2

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 41.8Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3418RoboRiot

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 38.44Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 80.55Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.4 ±10.5

8531TermiKnightors

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 8.41Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 1.81Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 11.86Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2506, 3418, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2506, 3418, 930

Auto

19.5 12%

Teleop

98.8 62%

Endgame

41.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8531, 8701, 3197

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8531, 8701, 3197

Auto

17.8 78%

Teleop

1.4 6%

Endgame

3.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score22.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.7
Score range: 1–182
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 115.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

430.4Season APEX363.4

19.5Auto17.8

98.8Teleop1.4

41Endgame3.6

16Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	30
teleop	77	49
endgame	26	3
foul	0	5
total	127	87

Result

Final score

127 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.