Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
12.59 – 126.51
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
22 – 121
Prediction correct · off by 7.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.9 ±12.1
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 1.44Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -20.69Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 31.84Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.9 ±12.4
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 20.97Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 33.99Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 71.55Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2077, 3596, 1091
7
/ 100 compatProjected
12.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2077, 3596, 1091
Auto
6.7 45%
Teleop
11.2 76%
Endgame
-3.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8847, 7619, 4786
66
/ 100 compatProjected
126.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8847, 7619, 4786
Auto
26.9 23%
Teleop
66.5 56%
Endgame
25.6 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score12.6pts
Blue projected score126.5pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -113.9
- Score range
- -8–148
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
155.9Season APEX255.9
6.7Auto26.9
11.2Teleop66.5
-3.1Endgame25.6
45Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 12 |
| teleop | 8 | 74 |
| endgame | 10 | 35 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 22 | 121 |
Result
Final score
22 – 121
Prediction correct · off by 7.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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