Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.14 – 129.17

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.1 ±11.7

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 15.92Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8847Milwaukee Cyber Cheese

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 8.91Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX -3.69Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.4 ±9.8

537Charger Robotics

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 18.4Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 115.76Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9149RoboCats

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX -4.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6381, 8847, 8701

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6381, 8847, 8701

Auto

14.7 64%

Teleop

-2.4 0%

Endgame

10.7 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 537, 1306, 9149

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 537, 1306, 9149

Auto

34.9 27%

Teleop

68.5 54%

Endgame

24.3 19%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.1pts

Blue projected score129.2pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108
Score range: 0–150
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 313 vs event baseline 114.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.1Season APEX370.4

14.7Auto34.9

-2.4Teleop68.5

10.7Endgame24.3

119Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	44
teleop	12	165
endgame	34	45
foul	0	0
total	59	254

Result

Final score

59 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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