Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.76 – 75.17

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.1 ±9.8

6574Ferradermis

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 30.66Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 34.61Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 171.49Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.3 ±11.2

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 44.24Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 11.86Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8847Milwaukee Cyber Cheese

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 19.07Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6574, 1675, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6574, 1675, 1732

Auto

40.3 18%

Teleop

130.0 58%

Endgame

54.6 24%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3197, 7900, 8847

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3197, 7900, 8847

Auto

23.4 31%

Teleop

36.7 48%

Endgame

15.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.8pts

Blue projected score75.2pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.6
Score range: 51–261
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 131.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.1Season APEX355.3

40.3Auto23.4

130Teleop36.7

54.6Endgame15.6

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	33
teleop	131	12
endgame	54	2
foul	30	0
total	255	47

Result

Final score

255 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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