Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.37 – 168.66

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.5 ±11.6

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 19.53Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2143Team Tobor

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 28.27Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 46.57Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.1 ±9.8

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 40.43Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6574Ferradermis

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 43.51Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 84.72Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2077, 2143, 1675

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2077, 2143, 1675

Auto

22.1 26%

Teleop

44.3 52%

Endgame

18.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6421, 6574, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6421, 6574, 930

Auto

19.7 12%

Teleop

100.4 64%

Endgame

38.0 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.4pts

Blue projected score168.7pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.3
Score range: 74–189
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 113.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.5Season APEX462.1

22.1Auto19.7

44.3Teleop100.4

18.6Endgame38

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	11
teleop	24	93
endgame	12	54
foul	0	5
total	53	163

Result

Final score

53 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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