Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.06 – 203.12

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.4 ±11.7

3596Rocket Robotics

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -10.86Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8024Robotans

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 4.42Rank 21Record 5-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 124.5Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.6 ±10.5

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 149.16Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

537Charger Robotics

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 26Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8531TermiKnightors

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 27.96Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3596, 8024, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3596, 8024, 1306

Auto

37.9 32%

Teleop

65.1 55%

Endgame

16.1 14%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1732, 537, 8531

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1732, 537, 8531

Auto

40.4 20%

Teleop

119.2 60%

Endgame

38.0 19%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.1pts

Blue projected score203.1pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.1
Score range: 98–223
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 112.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.4Season APEX388.6

37.9Auto40.4

65.1Teleop119.2

16.1Endgame38

116Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	25
teleop	76	87
endgame	0	56
foul	0	5
total	86	173

Result

Final score

86 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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