Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.07 – 56.79

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

68 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.6 ±11.7

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 36.01Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10430Solar Chill

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 9.85Rank 24Record 4-6-2Status establishedConfidence 97

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 37.21Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±12.2

8847Milwaukee Cyber Cheese

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 9.87Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 32.42Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 14.5Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7900, 10430, 2506

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7900, 10430, 2506

Auto

17.1 19%

Teleop

45.7 52%

Endgame

25.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8847, 2202, 2077

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8847, 2202, 2077

Auto

17.4 31%

Teleop

12.9 23%

Endgame

25.8 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.1pts

Blue projected score56.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.3
Score range: 36–104
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 117.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.6Season APEX212.2

17.1Auto17.4

45.7Teleop12.9

25Endgame25.8

50Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	41	29
endgame	17	18
foul	0	0
total	68	68

Result

Final score

68 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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