Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.83 – 81.59

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 9.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 580.7 ±9.9

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 146.32Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2077Laser Robotics

Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 16.02Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 109.49Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.7 ±11.2

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX -30.41Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 117.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10522Sun Prairie Robotics (SPR)

Season APEX 80Event APEX -5.12Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 2077, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1732, 2077, 1306

Auto

53.6 20%

Teleop

156.1 59%

Endgame

54.0 20%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8701, 7915, 10522

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8701, 7915, 10522

Auto

13.1 16%

Teleop

48.8 59%

Endgame

20.9 25%

Strengths

· 7915 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271.8pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.2
Score range: 61–293
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 118.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

580.7Season APEX384.7

53.6Auto13.1

156.1Teleop48.8

54Endgame20.9

103Consistency191

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	18
teleop	168	34
endgame	46	38
foul	0	0
total	282	90

Result

Final score

282 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 9.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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