Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
121.53 – 0
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 111
Prediction missed · off by 78.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 39.73Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 44.59Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 37.21Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 4.49Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX -16.67Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -0.77Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7619, 2202, 537
62
/ 100 compatProjected
121.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7619, 2202, 537
Auto
17.0 15%
Teleop
57.1 51%
Endgame
38.7 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6421, 3197, 1091
9
/ 100 compatProjected
-12.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6421, 3197, 1091
Auto
7.3 0%
Teleop
-10.6 80%
Endgame
-10.0 75%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score121.5pts
Blue projected score-12.9pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 121.5
- Score range
- -21–143
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
230.3Season APEX375.4
17Auto7.3
57.1Teleop-10.6
38.7Endgame-10
58Consistency175
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 28 |
| teleop | 24 | 63 |
| endgame | 30 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 111 |
Result
Final score
75 – 111
Prediction missed · off by 78.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree