Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 102.49
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 207
Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.9 ±11
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 4.07Rank 16Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 1.16Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -22.46Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 86.97Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 30.88Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX -15.36Rank 21Record 5-5-2Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2506, 9149, 3596
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-17.2 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2506, 9149, 3596
Auto
3.6 0%
Teleop
0.5 0%
Endgame
-12.4 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7915, 2062, 8024
56
/ 100 compatProjected
102.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7915, 2062, 8024
Auto
13.8 14%
Teleop
73.7 72%
Endgame
14.4 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-17.2pts
Blue projected score102.5pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.5
- Score range
- -21–123
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
253.9Season APEX392.6
3.6Auto13.8
0.5Teleop73.7
-12.4Endgame14.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 27 |
| teleop | 22 | 124 |
| endgame | 7 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 207 |
Result
Final score
37 – 207
Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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