Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.28 – 72.72
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
97 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 51.28Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX -22.63Rank 15Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 75.63Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.7 ±11
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 12.72Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 1.72Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 58.28Rank 9Record 7-3-2Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2202, 3197, 930
66
/ 100 compatProjected
104.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2202, 3197, 930
Auto
23.6 22%
Teleop
62.9 60%
Endgame
18.8 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1091, 6381, 4021
53
/ 100 compatProjected
72.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1091, 6381, 4021
Auto
9.5 14%
Teleop
32.4 48%
Endgame
25.2 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.3pts
Blue projected score72.7pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 31.6
- Score range
- 53–124
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
604.2Season APEX216.7
23.6Auto9.5
62.9Teleop32.4
18.8Endgame25.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 11 |
| teleop | 47 | 35 |
| endgame | 23 | 26 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 97 | 72 |
Result
Final score
97 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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