Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
5.23 – 117.56
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 80Event APEX 7.45Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 3.6Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX -5.82Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 39.03Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 22.15Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 56.38Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10522, 6421, 8847
9
/ 100 compatProjected
5.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10522, 6421, 8847
Auto
10.8 100%
Teleop
-3.3 0%
Endgame
-3.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6223, 3418, 1675
67
/ 100 compatProjected
117.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6223, 3418, 1675
Auto
20.6 19%
Teleop
40.8 39%
Endgame
44.3 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score5.2pts
Blue projected score117.6pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -112.3
- Score range
- -15–138
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
223.7Season APEX231.3
10.8Auto20.6
-3.3Teleop40.8
-3.4Endgame44.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 23 |
| teleop | 10 | 70 |
| endgame | 28 | 57 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 47 | 165 |
Result
Final score
47 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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