Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
14.02 – 60.3
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
14 – 248
Prediction correct · off by 93.9 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 18.98Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -8.32Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 3.36Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -8.32Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 25.95Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 42.67Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6318, 3596, 8701
15
/ 100 compatProjected
14 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6318, 3596, 8701
Auto
4.7 35%
Teleop
0.7 5%
Endgame
8.1 60%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7619, 7900, 1306
45
/ 100 compatProjected
60.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7619, 7900, 1306
Auto
26.7 45%
Teleop
18.1 31%
Endgame
13.9 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score14pts
Blue projected score60.3pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -46.3
- Score range
- -5–79
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
174.2Season APEX392.9
4.7Auto26.7
0.7Teleop18.1
8.1Endgame13.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 49 |
| teleop | 9 | 139 |
| endgame | 0 | 60 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 14 | 248 |
Result
Final score
14 – 248
Prediction correct · off by 93.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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